Concepción vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
GVE
25%
27%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
IBE
4 - 2
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
LAU
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
5 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
UCO
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
USF
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
COQ
1 - 0
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |