Concepción vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 4
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
COB
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 4
CON
55%
23%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
UCO
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 3
PAL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |