Concepción vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CON
2 - 0
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CON
2 - 0
PAL
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 3
UCH
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 0
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
4 - 3
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
5 - 2
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 3
DEP
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |