Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CDM
1 - 1
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
UCH
31%
27%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
HUA
3 - 0
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
DLS
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 3
UCO
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 0
UCO
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
LOT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |