Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CON
2 - 0
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 3
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
EVE
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CSL
0 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
UCO
4 - 1
COB
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |