Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 2
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
SWA
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
HUA
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
COQ
2 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2004 |
CDM
0 - 0
CON
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UCO
5 - 0
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |