Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COL
2 - 2
CON
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CON
2 - 1
CDP
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 0
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
CON
1 - 0
HUA
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
OHI
3 - 2
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
UCO
3 - 3
IND
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SWA
4 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 0
COQ
74%
16%
9%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
PUE
1 - 1
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |