Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HUA
3 - 2
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
NUB
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
CSD
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
PAL
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
USF
1 - 1
PUE
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
USF
1 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |