Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
CON
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAG
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DLS
0 - 0
USF
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
USF
3 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
EVE
1 - 0
USF
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
USF
3 - 0
DEP
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
USF
16%
26%
58%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |