Concepción vs Trasandino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
OVA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
MSA
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CDP
2 - 2
CON
18%
24%
57%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
DLI
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
REN
4 - 2
CON
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
LIM
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CDP
2 - 1
TRA
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 1
JOA
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 1
TRA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 1
OVA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |