Concepción vs Trasandino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BDS
1 - 2
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
CDP
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JOA
1 - 3
CON
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
LIM
59%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
OVA
1 - 0
CON
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 0
RAS
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MEJ
1 - 1
TRA
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
DUC
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
DFC
2 - 8
TRA
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 1
MSA
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |