Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NTA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COQ
3 - 0
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUB
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 1
PUE
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |