Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
CON
1 - 1
ACS
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
SWA
2 - 1
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
CON
1 - 1
COQ
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
CON
1 - 2
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
PUE
1 - 3
HUA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
ACS
1 - 2
PUE
74%
16%
9%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
SWA
3 - 2
PUE
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
PUE
1 - 0
OHI
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
PUE
4 - 3
EVE
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |