Concepción vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 0
CON
36%
24%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 0
CON
36%
24%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
DCO
2 - 1
FVC
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 2
CCI
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
FVC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IBE
1 - 2
FVC
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |