Concepción vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
14º
10º
61
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CON
58%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAU
1 - 3
CON
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
CDP
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAU
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 1
LAU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 0
IBE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DLI
0 - 1
LIM
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 2
CDM
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 0
LIM
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |