Concepción vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OVA
1 - 1
CON
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
4 - 1
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
TRA
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
OVA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 0
OVA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
3 - 2
TRA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
4 - 1
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
OVA
2 - 0
LIM
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
LIM
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |