Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 5
HUA
13%
19%
69%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
COQ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 2
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 1
NUB
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 2
LOT
42%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 0
CUR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 0
MAG
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
CUR
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |