Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOT
0 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
IQU
1 - 1
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CUR
2 - 1
CSD
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUR
42%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CUR
2 - 1
LOT
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
CUR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CUR
0 - 1
NTA
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |