Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
MAG
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 1
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
SAN
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LOT
3 - 4
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
HUA
4%
11%
86%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
CSD
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CSD
2 - 4
USF
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EVE
2 - 0
CSD
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CSD
0 - 1
PAL
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CSD
1 - 0
DEP
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |