Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
CON
1 - 2
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
CDP
0 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
HUA
0 - 1
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CON
1 - 0
OHI
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
SWA
3 - 0
COQ
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
COQ
3 - 2
PUE
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
COQ
0 - 2
UCO
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
COL
3 - 3
COQ
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
COQ
1 - 0
CDP
58%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |