Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis

Concepción CD Melipilla
52 ELO 61
-13% Tilt -6.2%
2200º General ELO ranking 2111º
28º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
25%
Concepción
26%
Draw
49%
CD Melipilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
Concepción
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49%
Win probability
CD Melipilla
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Concepción
+30%
-8%
CD Melipilla

Points and table prediction

Concepción
Their league position
CD Melipilla
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Melipilla
57
57
0%
Concepción
57
57
0%
Puerto Montt
42
42
100%
Deportes Rengo
39
39
100%
San Antonio Unido
39
39
100%
General Velásquez
37
37
100%
CD Provincial Osorno
36
36
100%
Provincial Ovalle
33
33
100%
Concón National
32
32
100%
Linares Unido
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Trasandino
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Real San Joaquín
12º
27
27
12º
0%
Lautaro de Buin
13º
27
27
13º
0%
Fernández Vial
14º
8
17
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Concepción
CD Melipilla
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Concepción
CD Melipilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Concepción
Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
OVA
Provincial Ovalle
2 - 1
Concepción
CON
38%
27%
35%
54 51 3 0
14 Apr. 2024
CON
Concepción
3 - 2
Fernández Vial
FVC
41%
28%
31%
53 53 0 +1
06 Apr. 2024
JOA
Real San Joaquín
0 - 1
Concepción
CON
43%
26%
31%
52 50 2 +1
30 Mar. 2024
PUE
Puerto Montt
1 - 1
Concepción
CON
50%
26%
24%
52 56 4 0
25 Mar. 2024
CON
Concepción
2 - 1
Linares Unido
DLI
54%
25%
21%
51 47 4 +1

Matches

CD Melipilla
CD Melipilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
CDM
CD Melipilla
0 - 1
Puerto Montt
PUE
55%
26%
20%
61 56 5 0
13 Apr. 2024
JOA
Real San Joaquín
1 - 1
CD Melipilla
CDM
23%
24%
53%
61 49 12 0
07 Apr. 2024
CDM
CD Melipilla
2 - 1
Fernández Vial
FVC
58%
25%
17%
60 54 6 +1
31 Mar. 2024
GVE
General Velásquez
0 - 5
CD Melipilla
CDM
29%
27%
44%
59 54 5 +1
24 Mar. 2024
CDM
CD Melipilla
1 - 0
San Antonio Unido
SAU
58%
24%
19%
59 51 8 0