Concepción FC vs Independiente La Rioja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
9DJ
6 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
GYT
26%
24%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CON
0 - 0
SPB
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
CCS
1 - 1
CON
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente La Rioja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
IND
0 - 0
CCS
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
POL
1 - 1
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
IND
2 - 1
CAÑ
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
SPB
5 - 2
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
9DJ
3 - 1
IND
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |