Concepción FC vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TFR
0 - 1
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
BVT
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
CON
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 2
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
POL
4 - 1
AMA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
POL
21%
24%
56%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MIT
4 - 0
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
POL
3 - 2
INS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |