Concepción FC vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GPJ
1 - 0
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
GYT
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FAM
2 - 0
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
CCS
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
FAM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CCS
2 - 0
POL
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
CEN
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
CAÑ
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
GPJ
2 - 1
POL
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |