Concepción FC vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CAÑ
0 - 3
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
IND
1 - 1
CON
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
9DJ
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
GYT
1 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SPB
2 - 0
CON
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
POL
1 - 0
CCS
11%
21%
68%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
POL
0 - 0
SPB
17%
23%
59%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
POL
0 - 0
CAÑ
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
IND
2 - 1
POL
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
POL
1 - 4
9DJ
43%
24%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |