Concepción FC vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
AMA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
POL
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TFR
0 - 1
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
5 - 1
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
AGU
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
TFR
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BVT
2 - 2
ATL
10%
19%
70%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | -1 |