Concarneau vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
QUE
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CON
2 - 2
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SEN
1 - 1
CON
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STA
0 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PLA
1 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
QUE
1 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PLA
1 - 1
PSG
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 0
PLA
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
PLA
0 - 1
FCR
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |