Concarneau vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 0
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CON
4 - 3
ANG
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 0
CON
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
USS
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LAT
0 - 0
CON
20%
25%
54%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DIV
3 - 2
LOR
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
LAV
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BON
0 - 2
LOR
22%
25%
54%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 2
NAN
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |