Concarneau vs Chapelle Marais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CON
4 - 0
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
USS
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
LAV
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BON
0 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Chapelle Marais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 2
MON
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
USS
1 - 0
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
BRE
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |