Concarneau vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 2
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
CON
2 - 3
STL
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
CON
1 - 2
BRE
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
GOB
2 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
CON
5 - 2
LMU
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 1
FUR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
LOR
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ANN
2 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAU
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |