Concarneau U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
13º
12º
35
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
REN
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
GUI
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
5 - 0
CON
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 1
CON
71%
16%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVR
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 2
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
AVR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AVR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |