Concarneau II vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
CON
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CON
0 - 3
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ERG
0 - 1
CON
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
4 - 1
LAT
76%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 1
LAN
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
PLA
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 1
ROM
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |