Comunicaciones II vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comunicaciones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPD
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COM
1 - 2
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 0
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
IZT
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 3
NUE
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
5 - 0
HUE
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |