Compiègne vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
13º
9º
36
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
AAC
2 - 3
COM
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
USM
36%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
3 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
LEN
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 0
USM
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
VIM
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 3
LEN
19%
19%
61%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 1
VIM
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 4
AMI
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |