Compiègne vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
78.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
DRA
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LPV
3 - 0
COM
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
MAR
37%
25%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
CON
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
VAL
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |