Como vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIR
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
ACD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
ACD
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 1
PRG
42%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |