Como vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
COM
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ABN
3 - 1
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 5
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAR
21%
28%
52%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
USC
5 - 0
TRI
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |