Como vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
COM
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COM
0 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
USF
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 2
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
TRI
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
USF
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRI
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
0 - 2
TRI
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |