Como vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 0
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 0
COM
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
COM
2 - 0
NAP
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PES
1 - 1
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAG
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRE
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 2
VER
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 0
TRE
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 0
GEN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |