Como vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
COM
1 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
VIC
3 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
COM
1 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
TRE
1 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
TRE
1 - 2
BRE
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
PAD
3 - 0
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
TRE
1 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |