Como vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 2
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 1
COM
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
ASS
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
TAR
30%
31%
39%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AVE
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
USF
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
TER
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 0
TER
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |