Como vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIR
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 3
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |