Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 1
COM
51%
29%
21%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
PAL
1 - 0
COM
54%
29%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
63%
25%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
COM
2 - 2
PRG
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
SSS
1 - 0
USC
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |