Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
COM
2 - 1
BOL
36%
33%
31%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 0
COM
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
COM
0 - 1
NAP
30%
34%
36%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 0
SSS
53%
29%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
SSS
0 - 1
VIC
30%
31%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
SSS
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SSS
0 - 0
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
51%
30%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |