Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
10%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
COM
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
COM
1 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
COM
0 - 0
PES
69%
22%
9%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
71%
21%
8%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAL
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
PES
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |