Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
COM
2 - 4
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
PAR
4 - 0
COM
49%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
COM
2 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
VER
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 0
SSS
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
USA
2 - 1
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
GEN
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |