Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
COM
3 - 0
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
VNZ
4 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
SSS
3 - 0
TAR
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 0
SSS
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |