Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ASS
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
COM
0 - 2
VNZ
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
ACP
0 - 0
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
BRE
4 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
SSS
1 - 0
TAR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ACM
6 - 0
SSS
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |