Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
COM
2 - 2
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
UDI
1 - 0
COM
71%
17%
11%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
COM
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VIS
4 - 0
SSS
46%
22%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
VIS
8 - 1
SSS
34%
23%
43%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |