Como vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
RCR
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USA
2 - 0
COM
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
SIE
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
LIV
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
PON
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PON
2 - 4
ASL
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
PON
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PON
3 - 2
RCR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 1
PON
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |